March 8, 2014

EL SALVADOR 2014 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: Results and predictions, in the second round.

This Sunday, the sister Republic of El Salvador, held the second round of the elections, which elected President and Vice President, for a period of 5 years.



Even if you do not believe it, we are to forecast, very difficult, where anyone can succeed. True, the candidate of the Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front ( FMLN), classified comfortably to the second round, nearly 2 points to 50%.

But this case is very different, there is a gap, it does, that this second round is unpredictable:

- The distance between first and second place, thousandths, did not exceed the 10 percentage points in the first round.

So far nobody has been able to overcome advantages of more than 10 points from there to many parts of the world, has been consecrated, that candidate winning more than 45 % with 10 percentage points of advantage over the second, automatically, you will declare a winner ... But that's not the case ... As we said, above, by thousandths (equivalent to a handful of thousand votes), was not achieved.

- The " give and take " between Russia and the United States , with the probable " hostage exchange " part of the second , giving Ukraine, in favor of the former, in exchange for his " primacy in the West " could overturn the results in favor of the candidate of the National Republican Alliance (ARENA )

We must remember that Central America is a very strategic location for the United States in its " fight against drug trafficking and terrorism ," conquered El Salvador , as an "ally " entrench the steps in that purpose.

To this we add the events in Venezuela, at present, remains to be seen if that could influence in the electorate.
- Virtual draw, between the candidates ... We have been informed that there is a "tie " between the candidates, just milliseconds apart, both " planted " in 48 %.

But taking into account the tacit support of the disqualified candidate, third, former President Elias Antonio Saca, for Antonio Sanchez Cerén , FMLN , this organization during his government continued progress, enjoying , Salvadorans , and because " very nearly " , was elected in the first round ....

I "conditioned” for Sanchez Cerén prediction as the next President of El Salvador, where warning, I have very high, chances of being wrong.

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