PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS, COLOMBIA 2014 : Results and Forecasts, in the first round .

 

This Sunday , the Republic of Colombia , which holds elections will be selected, President and Vice President for the period 2014-2018 .

 COVERAGE AND RESULTS : 

 http://www.registraduria.gov.co/iniv.htm 

 http://www.eltiempo.com/noticias/elecciones-2014 

http://www.caracol.com.co/ 

Prediction: 

What looked like a sure reelection of President Juan Manuel Santos, in the first round has been affected by the doubts generated in their health after surgery for prostate cancer

- The division of the right platform, which gave sustenance, with Uribe on one side and conservatives on the other , each with its own candidates .

 - The scandal , his strategist JJ Rendón , involved in "reach bridges" drug trafficking.

- The difficulties and sabotage against the peace process, to insert the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC ), to civilization.

These factors have affected so that the colorless, challenger candidate Uribe , Oscar Ivan Zuloaga, is going up in the polls, and catch him in the preferences ... Thanks to the undisputed leadership of former President Alvaro Uribe Velez. 

 But nevertheless, insufficient :

Because the candidate Uribe, raises concern, with fears that definitely abort the peace dialogue , while on the other hand, you spy scandal erupts and sabotage.

Because President Santos, despite the drop in acceptance has been stabilized thanks to the strength of its vice presidential candidate German Vargas Lleras, the incorporation of former President Cesar Gaviria. and the call to cover , by his former rival Antanas Mockus, because it would "vote for peace "

Besides the plays went well , the most recent debate between the presidential candidates , according to analysts .

This situation, without surveys, make us foresee holding second round, with Ivan Zuloaga and Juan Manuel Santos as classified.

Already at this stage, we shall see, they bring the circumstances.